The stalled transition from the initial US-brokered ceasefire to its second phase remains the central driver of trader assessments on foreign intervention in Gaza. Hamas has rejected disarmament demands tied to an International Stabilization Force involving personnel from countries such as Indonesia, Morocco, and Kosovo, while Israel has signaled readiness to resume operations absent verifiable weapons surrender and a shift to technocratic governance under the Board of Peace. Recent diplomatic efforts, including May statements from Board of Peace envoy Nickolay Mladenov and US plans to implement elements outside Hamas-controlled areas, have produced no ground deployments or official acknowledgments of foreign police, security, or military operations. The June 30 resolution window adds pressure around ongoing Cairo talks and potential aid-linked developments, though historical patterns of prolonged negotiation in similar post-conflict settings suggest significant procedural and security hurdles before any qualifying foreign presence could occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$613,277 交易量

6月30日
11%
$613,277 交易量

6月30日
11%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The stalled transition from the initial US-brokered ceasefire to its second phase remains the central driver of trader assessments on foreign intervention in Gaza. Hamas has rejected disarmament demands tied to an International Stabilization Force involving personnel from countries such as Indonesia, Morocco, and Kosovo, while Israel has signaled readiness to resume operations absent verifiable weapons surrender and a shift to technocratic governance under the Board of Peace. Recent diplomatic efforts, including May statements from Board of Peace envoy Nickolay Mladenov and US plans to implement elements outside Hamas-controlled areas, have produced no ground deployments or official acknowledgments of foreign police, security, or military operations. The June 30 resolution window adds pressure around ongoing Cairo talks and potential aid-linked developments, though historical patterns of prolonged negotiation in similar post-conflict settings suggest significant procedural and security hurdles before any qualifying foreign presence could occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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