Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$53,097 交易量
$53,097 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
93%
共和黨
7%
$53,097 交易量
$53,097 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$42,836 交易量
93%
共和黨
$10,261 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$53,097結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$53,097結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii’s Second Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat, with the party’s 92.5 percent implied probability reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and the absence of any competitive Republican challenger ahead of the 2026 midterms. The seat has been held by Democrats for decades, supported by a voter base that favors the party in both presidential and congressional races by wide margins. No recent polling, candidate announcements, or legislative developments have altered this baseline outlook. A significant shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the likely Democratic nominee, a late surge by an untested Republican, or court-ordered redistricting that materially changes the district’s composition before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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