Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月13日安卡拉的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$48,656 交易量
$48,656 交易量
2026-08-13
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$48,656 交易量
$48,656 交易量
2026-08-13
26°C or below
$2,886 交易量
No
27°C
$871 交易量
No
28°C
$1,296 交易量
No
29°C
$5,897 交易量
No
30°C
$11,382 交易量
Yes
31°C
$18,038 交易量
No
32°C
$3,750 交易量
No
33°C
$2,223 交易量
No
34°C
$987 交易量
No
35°C
$814 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$510 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$48,656結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48,656結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service recorded a daily maximum of exactly 30°C in Ankara on August 13, 2026, under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure that limited daytime heating. Multiple forecast models converged on this value 24–48 hours ahead, aligning with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average near 31°C but rarely exceed it without stronger southerly flow or subsidence warming. The 100% market-implied probability reflects traders’ assessment of verified station data meeting the precise resolution threshold. Only an unreported sensor malfunction or post-event quality-control revision could alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given redundant monitoring networks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions