Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日安卡拉的最高溫度?
33°C 56%
34°C 33%
32°C 11%
35°C 2.3%
$18,808 交易量
$18,808 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
33%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 33%
32°C 11%
35°C 2.3%
$18,808 交易量
$18,808 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
11%
33°C
56%
34°C
33%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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