Traders have overwhelmingly backed a highest temperature of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 16, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a mild spring day with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s under stable high pressure. This consensus aligns with mid-May climatology for the Midwest, where average highs reach about 68°F, driven by typical southerly flow and minimal cold-air advection from the north. Recent Global Forecast System model runs show consistent daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures. An unexpected late-season Arctic front or major model bias could theoretically challenge the outcome, though such developments remain highly unlikely given current synoptic patterns and observed conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,669 交易量
$32,669 交易量
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,669 交易量
$32,669 交易量
56°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly backed a highest temperature of 56°F or higher in Chicago on May 16, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a mild spring day with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s under stable high pressure. This consensus aligns with mid-May climatology for the Midwest, where average highs reach about 68°F, driven by typical southerly flow and minimal cold-air advection from the north. Recent Global Forecast System model runs show consistent daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures. An unexpected late-season Arctic front or major model bias could theoretically challenge the outcome, though such developments remain highly unlikely given current synoptic patterns and observed conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions