Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 68%
24°C 21%
23°C 8%
22°C 1.4%
$13,915 交易量
$13,915 交易量
2026-05-16
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
68%
25°C or higher 68%
24°C 21%
23°C 8%
22°C 1.4%
$13,915 交易量
$13,915 交易量
2026-05-16
18°C
$1,413 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,134 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,908 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,658 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,810 交易量
1%
23°C
$867 交易量
8%
24°C
$784 交易量
21%
25°C or higher
$1,184 交易量
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,915結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,915結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System projects Istanbul’s official high today reaching 25–27 °C at the primary monitoring station, driven by a southerly flow of warmer continental air and reduced cloud cover that allows stronger solar heating. This has shifted trader sentiment toward the 25 °C-or-higher outcome at 67 % implied probability, well above the mid-May climatological average of 21–22 °C. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus remains a key variable that could cap the peak one to two degrees lower, yet current ensemble spreads show limited support for that scenario. Hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the final data before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions