Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 41.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 14, reflecting BMKG's most recent forecast of daytime highs around 33–34°C amid the seasonal shift to drier conditions in early May. Reduced rainfall—typical as the wet season wanes—combined with high solar insolation and Jakarta's urban heat island effect, has driven recent daily maxima into the mid-30s°C range, exceeding historical May averages of 32–33°C. Global models like ECMWF show consensus for mostly clear skies and light winds, favoring slight intensification potential, though sea breezes or unexpected clouds could cap peaks at 33°C. Watch BMKG's evening update for refined hourly projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
34°C 39%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
最新
$22,072 交易量
最新
$22,072 交易量
2026-05-14
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
39%
35°C
26%
36°C
12%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 22%
33°C 15%
36°C 12%
最新
$22,072 交易量
最新
$22,072 交易量
2026-05-14
28°C or below
$891 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,185 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,664 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,147 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,694 交易量
3%
33°C
$2,762 交易量
15%
34°C
$1,011 交易量
39%
35°C
$1,152 交易量
26%
36°C
$4,730 交易量
12%
37°C
$1,231 交易量
2%
38°C or higher
$3,624 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 41.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 14, reflecting BMKG's most recent forecast of daytime highs around 33–34°C amid the seasonal shift to drier conditions in early May. Reduced rainfall—typical as the wet season wanes—combined with high solar insolation and Jakarta's urban heat island effect, has driven recent daily maxima into the mid-30s°C range, exceeding historical May averages of 32–33°C. Global models like ECMWF show consensus for mostly clear skies and light winds, favoring slight intensification potential, though sea breezes or unexpected clouds could cap peaks at 33°C. Watch BMKG's evening update for refined hourly projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
交易量
$22,072結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 41.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 14, reflecting BMKG's most recent forecast of daytime highs around 33–34°C amid the seasonal shift to drier conditions in early May. Reduced rainfall—typical as the wet season wanes—combined with high solar insolation and Jakarta's urban heat island effect, has driven recent daily maxima into the mid-30s°C range, exceeding historical May averages of 32–33°C. Global models like ECMWF show consensus for mostly clear skies and light winds, favoring slight intensification potential, though sea breezes or unexpected clouds could cap peaks at 33°C. Watch BMKG's evening update for refined hourly projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$22,072結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 41.5% probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 14, reflecting BMKG's most recent forecast of daytime highs around 33–34°C amid the seasonal shift to drier conditions in early May. Reduced rainfall—typical as the wet season wanes—combined with high solar insolation and Jakarta's urban heat island effect, has driven recent daily maxima into the mid-30s°C range, exceeding historical May averages of 32–33°C. Global models like ECMWF show consensus for mostly clear skies and light winds, favoring slight intensification potential, though sea breezes or unexpected clouds could cap peaks at 33°C. Watch BMKG's evening update for refined hourly projections ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions