Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 交易量
$38,783 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 交易量
$38,783 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions