**Persistent monsoon thundershowers and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating and cap the maximum temperature in Lucknow on August 27.** Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thunderstorms, typical of active monsoon conditions that enhance evaporative cooling and reduce diurnal temperature range. Recent observations show maxima near 33–34°C under similar patterns, while extended forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and the Met Office converge on highs of 30–33°C. Traders have priced 30–32°C outcomes highest, reflecting consensus around these suppressed values rather than climatological peaks near 32–34°C. New IMD updates and refined model guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if rainfall intensity or timing changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
31°C 35%
30°C 23%
32°C 23%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
23%
31°C
35%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 23%
32°C 23%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
23%
31°C
35%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Persistent monsoon thundershowers and extensive cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating and cap the maximum temperature in Lucknow on August 27.** Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thunderstorms, typical of active monsoon conditions that enhance evaporative cooling and reduce diurnal temperature range. Recent observations show maxima near 33–34°C under similar patterns, while extended forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug and the Met Office converge on highs of 30–33°C. Traders have priced 30–32°C outcomes highest, reflecting consensus around these suppressed values rather than climatological peaks near 32–34°C. New IMD updates and refined model guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if rainfall intensity or timing changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions