Recent monsoon dynamics and India Meteorological Department model runs point to persistent cloud cover and scattered light rainfall over Lucknow through August 27, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. Elevated humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Clearer breaks or heavier localized showers could shift readings toward 25 °C or 28 °C, while stronger subsidence remains unlikely given the active monsoon phase. Updated IMD guidance and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any model divergence emerges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日勒克瑙的最低溫度?
25°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 41%
26°C 32%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
41%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 49%
24°C 47%
23°C 41%
26°C 32%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
41%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
22%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon dynamics and India Meteorological Department model runs point to persistent cloud cover and scattered light rainfall over Lucknow through August 27, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. Elevated humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Clearer breaks or heavier localized showers could shift readings toward 25 °C or 28 °C, while stronger subsidence remains unlikely given the active monsoon phase. Updated IMD guidance and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any model divergence emerges before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions