Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月25日米蘭的最高溫度？
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
37%
28°C
26%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 37%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C or below
$12 交易量
1%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$5 交易量
2%
25°C
$187 交易量
8%
26°C
$140 交易量
28%
27°C
$44 交易量
37%
28°C
$10 交易量
26%
29°C
$17 交易量
11%
30°C or higher
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$420結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$420結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS drive the market's tight clustering around 26–28°C, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 38%. Late-August conditions in the Po Valley typically feature high pressure favoring clear skies and moderate warming, though small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or weak southerly advection can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show limited spread without strong heat advection or frontal passages, consistent with climatological highs near 28°C and the absence of extreme signals seen earlier in August. Traders weigh these subtle thermodynamic and dynamic variables ahead of final observational data on August 25.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions