Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models show notable spread in Milan’s minimum temperature for August 25, with solutions clustering between roughly 17–21 °C amid an approaching trough and associated frontal boundary. Persistent high pressure has maintained overnight lows near or above 20 °C through the current heat spell, but increasing cloud cover and possible northerly advection of cooler maritime air could reduce radiative cooling and lower the diurnal minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh the balance between continued warm advection versus the timing and strength of the expected weather shift, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service observations of the 24-hour low. Updated model guidance and short-range high-resolution runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月25日米蘭的最低溫度？
14°C or below 60%
24°C or higher 60%
19°C 28%
18°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
14°C or below
60%
15°C
12%
16°C
23%
17°C
24%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
23%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
60%
14°C or below 60%
24°C or higher 60%
19°C 28%
18°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
14°C or below
$5 交易量
60%
15°C
$0 交易量
12%
16°C
$0 交易量
23%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
28%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$4 交易量
23%
22°C
$5 交易量
7%
23°C
$5 交易量
7%
24°C or higher
$5 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models show notable spread in Milan’s minimum temperature for August 25, with solutions clustering between roughly 17–21 °C amid an approaching trough and associated frontal boundary. Persistent high pressure has maintained overnight lows near or above 20 °C through the current heat spell, but increasing cloud cover and possible northerly advection of cooler maritime air could reduce radiative cooling and lower the diurnal minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh the balance between continued warm advection versus the timing and strength of the expected weather shift, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service observations of the 24-hour low. Updated model guidance and short-range high-resolution runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models show notable spread in Milan’s minimum temperature for August 25, with solutions clustering between roughly 17–21 °C amid an approaching trough and associated frontal boundary. Persistent high pressure has maintained overnight lows near or above 20 °C through the current heat spell, but increasing cloud cover and possible northerly advection of cooler maritime air could reduce radiative cooling and lower the diurnal minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh the balance between continued warm advection versus the timing and strength of the expected weather shift, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service observations of the 24-hour low. Updated model guidance and short-range high-resolution runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble runs from the ECMWF and GFS models show notable spread in Milan’s minimum temperature for August 25, with solutions clustering between roughly 17–21 °C amid an approaching trough and associated frontal boundary. Persistent high pressure has maintained overnight lows near or above 20 °C through the current heat spell, but increasing cloud cover and possible northerly advection of cooler maritime air could reduce radiative cooling and lower the diurnal minimum by several degrees. Traders weigh the balance between continued warm advection versus the timing and strength of the expected weather shift, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service observations of the 24-hour low. Updated model guidance and short-range high-resolution runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions