Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 94-95°F in Miami (99.5% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 94°F at Miami International Airport amid a stubborn upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means showing low- to mid-90s peaks, building on yesterday's observed 91°F high and early May records like 94°F on May 2. Current midday readings already exceed 89°F with low humidity around 55% and light southerly winds delaying sea-breeze onset, minimizing convective interference. Realistic challenges include afternoon thunderstorms capping heating via clouds or an earlier sea-breeze surge, with hourly observations and 5 PM EDT NWS updates pivotal before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on May 13?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 13?
94-95°F 99.6%
96°F or higher <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$128,836 交易量
$128,836 交易量
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 99.6%
96°F or higher <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$128,836 交易量
$128,836 交易量
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 94-95°F in Miami (99.5% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service's latest point forecast projecting a daytime maximum near 94°F at Miami International Airport amid a stubborn upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means showing low- to mid-90s peaks, building on yesterday's observed 91°F high and early May records like 94°F on May 2. Current midday readings already exceed 89°F with low humidity around 55% and light southerly winds delaying sea-breeze onset, minimizing convective interference. Realistic challenges include afternoon thunderstorms capping heating via clouds or an earlier sea-breeze surge, with hourly observations and 5 PM EDT NWS updates pivotal before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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