Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 44% implied probability for 30°C and 24% for 31°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-September conditions near historical averages for the Po Valley, where daytime heating under subtropical high pressure supports peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without strong advection of cooler air. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 29°C viable at 21%, while probabilities below 28°C or above 32°C remain low absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月2日米蘭的最高溫度？
30°C 45%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
45%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
4%
30°C 45%
31°C 24%
29°C 21%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
$1,699 交易量
<1%
23°C
$413 交易量
<1%
24°C
$259 交易量
<1%
25°C
$158 交易量
<1%
26°C
$75 交易量
<1%
27°C
$41 交易量
2%
28°C
$21 交易量
4%
29°C
$740 交易量
21%
30°C
$407 交易量
45%
31°C
$157 交易量
24%
32°C or higher
$202 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 44% implied probability for 30°C and 24% for 31°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-September conditions near historical averages for the Po Valley, where daytime heating under subtropical high pressure supports peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without strong advection of cooler air. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 29°C viable at 21%, while probabilities below 28°C or above 32°C remain low absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,148結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 44% implied probability for 30°C and 24% for 31°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-September conditions near historical averages for the Po Valley, where daytime heating under subtropical high pressure supports peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without strong advection of cooler air. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 29°C viable at 21%, while probabilities below 28°C or above 32°C remain low absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,148結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a maximum temperature near 30°C in Milan on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 44% implied probability for 30°C and 24% for 31°C. These outcomes reflect typical early-September conditions near historical averages for the Po Valley, where daytime heating under subtropical high pressure supports peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without strong advection of cooler air. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing keeps 29°C viable at 21%, while probabilities below 28°C or above 32°C remain low absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions