Recent forecast updates from models such as those informing Italian meteorological services point to clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, enabling moderate radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum temperature in Milan near 18–19°C. Stable high pressure and dew points around 16–18°C limit further drops, while daytime heating to 30–31°C aligns with seasonal norms for early September. Trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 19°C and 45% for 18°C incorporates uncertainty in exact station readings and minor model spread on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but current conditions favor values above that baseline, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日米蘭的最低溫度？
9月2日米蘭的最低溫度？
18°C 98%
17°C 5.1%
15°C 4.4%
16°C 3.6%
$528 交易量
$528 交易量
2026-09-02
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
98%
19°C
-
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 98%
17°C 5.1%
15°C 4.4%
16°C 3.6%
$528 交易量
$528 交易量
2026-09-02
14°C or below
$75 交易量
1%
15°C
$87 交易量
4%
16°C
$12 交易量
4%
17°C
$31 交易量
5%
18°C
$17 交易量
98%
19°C
$97 交易量
-
20°C
$52 交易量
1%
21°C
$47 交易量
<1%
22°C
$65 交易量
<1%
23°C
$25 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models such as those informing Italian meteorological services point to clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, enabling moderate radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum temperature in Milan near 18–19°C. Stable high pressure and dew points around 16–18°C limit further drops, while daytime heating to 30–31°C aligns with seasonal norms for early September. Trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 19°C and 45% for 18°C incorporates uncertainty in exact station readings and minor model spread on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but current conditions favor values above that baseline, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$528結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from models such as those informing Italian meteorological services point to clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, enabling moderate radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum temperature in Milan near 18–19°C. Stable high pressure and dew points around 16–18°C limit further drops, while daytime heating to 30–31°C aligns with seasonal norms for early September. Trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 19°C and 45% for 18°C incorporates uncertainty in exact station readings and minor model spread on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but current conditions favor values above that baseline, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$528結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast updates from models such as those informing Italian meteorological services point to clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, enabling moderate radiative cooling that positions the daily minimum temperature in Milan near 18–19°C. Stable high pressure and dew points around 16–18°C limit further drops, while daytime heating to 30–31°C aligns with seasonal norms for early September. Trader consensus reflected in the 55.5% implied probability for 19°C and 45% for 18°C incorporates uncertainty in exact station readings and minor model spread on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average near 16°C, but current conditions favor values above that baseline, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions