Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles project clear, calm conditions over Milan on September 4 with daytime highs near 33–35 °C and overnight minima of 22–24 °C, reflecting strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering near 18–20 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects within the Po Valley, where small forecast adjustments can shift the recorded minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages place typical lows around 17 °C, but the current warm anomaly narrows the range of likely outcomes and keeps resolution sensitive to the final observational update from Milan’s official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日米蘭的最低溫度？
9月4日米蘭的最低溫度？
14°C或以下 70%
15°C 70%
16°C 70%
17°C 70%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
70%
15°C
70%
16°C
70%
17°C
70%
18°C
49%
19°C
51%
20°C
37%
21°C
70%
22°C
69%
23°C
70%
24°C或以上
70%
14°C或以下 70%
15°C 70%
16°C 70%
17°C 70%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
70%
15°C
$0 交易量
70%
16°C
$0 交易量
70%
17°C
$0 交易量
70%
18°C
$0 交易量
49%
19°C
$0 交易量
51%
20°C
$0 交易量
37%
21°C
$0 交易量
70%
22°C
$0 交易量
69%
23°C
$0 交易量
70%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles project clear, calm conditions over Milan on September 4 with daytime highs near 33–35 °C and overnight minima of 22–24 °C, reflecting strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering near 18–20 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects within the Po Valley, where small forecast adjustments can shift the recorded minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages place typical lows around 17 °C, but the current warm anomaly narrows the range of likely outcomes and keeps resolution sensitive to the final observational update from Milan’s official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles project clear, calm conditions over Milan on September 4 with daytime highs near 33–35 °C and overnight minima of 22–24 °C, reflecting strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering near 18–20 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects within the Po Valley, where small forecast adjustments can shift the recorded minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages place typical lows around 17 °C, but the current warm anomaly narrows the range of likely outcomes and keeps resolution sensitive to the final observational update from Milan’s official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles project clear, calm conditions over Milan on September 4 with daytime highs near 33–35 °C and overnight minima of 22–24 °C, reflecting strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering near 18–20 °C at roughly 50 % implied probability highlights remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects within the Po Valley, where small forecast adjustments can shift the recorded minimum by 2–3 °C. Historical September averages place typical lows around 17 °C, but the current warm anomaly narrows the range of likely outcomes and keeps resolution sensitive to the final observational update from Milan’s official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions