Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
7月20日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,369 交易量
$45,369 交易量
2026-07-20
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$45,369 交易量
$45,369 交易量
2026-07-20
31°C or below
$2,382 交易量
No
32°C
$5,008 交易量
No
33°C
$13,365 交易量
Yes
34°C
$10,802 交易量
No
35°C
$6,741 交易量
No
36°C
$3,057 交易量
No
37°C
$2,093 交易量
No
38°C
$652 交易量
No
39°C
$347 交易量
No
40°C
$461 交易量
No
41°C or higher
$460 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$45,369結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,369結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions