Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Warsaw under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. Model consensus indicates modest daytime heating from clear to scattered cloud cover, with overnight lows near 11–14°C limiting afternoon peaks and no significant warm advection or strong insolation expected. The narrow spread between leading outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local boundary-layer mixing, typical for mid-August conditions near the long-term average high of 24–26°C. Updated observations and afternoon model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日華沙的最高溫度？
8月13日華沙的最高溫度？
23°C 46%
24°C 39%
22°C 11%
25°C 3%
最新
$15,451 交易量
最新
$15,451 交易量
2026-08-13
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
11%
23°C
46%
24°C
39%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 46%
24°C 39%
22°C 11%
25°C 3%
最新
$15,451 交易量
最新
$15,451 交易量
2026-08-13
20°C或以下
$722 交易量
<1%
21°C
$878 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,231 交易量
11%
23°C
$2,277 交易量
46%
24°C
$3,715 交易量
39%
25°C
$1,255 交易量
3%
26°C
$1,096 交易量
1%
27°C
$391 交易量
<1%
28°C
$893 交易量
<1%
29°C
$782 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Warsaw under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. Model consensus indicates modest daytime heating from clear to scattered cloud cover, with overnight lows near 11–14°C limiting afternoon peaks and no significant warm advection or strong insolation expected. The narrow spread between leading outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local boundary-layer mixing, typical for mid-August conditions near the long-term average high of 24–26°C. Updated observations and afternoon model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$15,451結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Warsaw under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. Model consensus indicates modest daytime heating from clear to scattered cloud cover, with overnight lows near 11–14°C limiting afternoon peaks and no significant warm advection or strong insolation expected. The narrow spread between leading outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local boundary-layer mixing, typical for mid-August conditions near the long-term average high of 24–26°C. Updated observations and afternoon model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,451結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETOfficial forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Warsaw under partly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. Model consensus indicates modest daytime heating from clear to scattered cloud cover, with overnight lows near 11–14°C limiting afternoon peaks and no significant warm advection or strong insolation expected. The narrow spread between leading outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and local boundary-layer mixing, typical for mid-August conditions near the long-term average high of 24–26°C. Updated observations and afternoon model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions