Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models show a developing low-pressure system and associated cloud cover over central China, likely capping Wuhan's May 18 high near 25–26°C with possible thunderstorms and elevated humidity suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, reflecting consensus from short-range guidance that incorporates recent surface observations and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon regime. Historical May climatology for Wuhan averages highs near 28°C, but the current transitional pattern—following warmer conditions earlier in the month—introduces modest uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases on May 19 will confirm the daily maximum recorded at the Tianhe station, the resolution benchmark.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日武漢氣溫最高？
5月18日武漢氣溫最高？
26°C 29%
25°C 21%
27°C 15%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
21%
26°C
29%
27°C
15%
28°C or higher
11%
26°C 29%
25°C 21%
27°C 15%
24°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
18°C or below
$105 交易量
<1%
19°C
$137 交易量
<1%
20°C
$70 交易量
1%
21°C
$65 交易量
1%
22°C
$88 交易量
3%
23°C
$48 交易量
6%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C
$46 交易量
21%
26°C
$119 交易量
29%
27°C
$53 交易量
15%
28°C or higher
$42 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models show a developing low-pressure system and associated cloud cover over central China, likely capping Wuhan's May 18 high near 25–26°C with possible thunderstorms and elevated humidity suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, reflecting consensus from short-range guidance that incorporates recent surface observations and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon regime. Historical May climatology for Wuhan averages highs near 28°C, but the current transitional pattern—following warmer conditions earlier in the month—introduces modest uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases on May 19 will confirm the daily maximum recorded at the Tianhe station, the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$774結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models show a developing low-pressure system and associated cloud cover over central China, likely capping Wuhan's May 18 high near 25–26°C with possible thunderstorms and elevated humidity suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, reflecting consensus from short-range guidance that incorporates recent surface observations and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon regime. Historical May climatology for Wuhan averages highs near 28°C, but the current transitional pattern—following warmer conditions earlier in the month—introduces modest uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases on May 19 will confirm the daily maximum recorded at the Tianhe station, the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$774結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast updates from numerical weather prediction models show a developing low-pressure system and associated cloud cover over central China, likely capping Wuhan's May 18 high near 25–26°C with possible thunderstorms and elevated humidity suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, reflecting consensus from short-range guidance that incorporates recent surface observations and steering patterns from the East Asian monsoon regime. Historical May climatology for Wuhan averages highs near 28°C, but the current transitional pattern—following warmer conditions earlier in the month—introduces modest uncertainty tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases on May 19 will confirm the daily maximum recorded at the Tianhe station, the resolution benchmark.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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