Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿米爾·奧哈納 81%
塔莉·戈特利夫 6.0%
雅里夫·列文 5.9%
伊萊·科恩 5.1%
$60,775 交易量
$60,775 交易量
2026-10-26
阿米爾·奧哈納
81%
塔莉·戈特利夫
6%
雅里夫·列文
6%
伊萊·科恩
5%
國會選舉前不舉行初選
2%
鮑亞茲·比斯穆特
1%
Miri Regev
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
以色列·卡茨
1%
莫謝·薩達
1%
大衛·阿姆薩勒姆
1%
阿爾莫格·科恩
1%
阿米哈伊·奇克利
1%
尼爾·巴卡特
<1%
約阿夫·基施
<1%
米基·佐哈爾
<1%
大衛·比坦
<1%
阿米爾·奧哈納 81%
塔莉·戈特利夫 6.0%
雅里夫·列文 5.9%
伊萊·科恩 5.1%
$60,775 交易量
$60,775 交易量
2026-10-26
阿米爾·奧哈納
$19,298 交易量
81%
塔莉·戈特利夫
$13,081 交易量
6%
雅里夫·列文
$3,909 交易量
6%
伊萊·科恩
$1,556 交易量
5%
國會選舉前不舉行初選
$9,710 交易量
2%
鮑亞茲·比斯穆特
$1,287 交易量
1%
Miri Regev
$655 交易量
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$1,016 交易量
1%
以色列·卡茨
$2,245 交易量
1%
莫謝·薩達
$882 交易量
1%
大衛·阿姆薩勒姆
$832 交易量
1%
阿爾莫格·科恩
$909 交易量
1%
阿米哈伊·奇克利
$910 交易量
1%
尼爾·巴卡特
$2,180 交易量
<1%
約阿夫·基施
$841 交易量
<1%
米基·佐哈爾
$667 交易量
<1%
大衛·比坦
$800 交易量
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
市場開放時間： Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
交易量
$60,775結束日期
2026-10-26市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
交易量
$60,775結束日期
2026-10-26市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana holds the clearest lead in the Likud primary for Knesset candidate slots, reflecting consistent polling among registered party members that places him well ahead of other contenders. Recent internal surveys show him topping preferences for the national list, supported by his role as Knesset Speaker and visibility in party structures ahead of the August 17 voting window. Netanyahu’s expanded reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions, yet this has not shifted the frontrunner status in member surveys. Lower-priced outcomes such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, Eli Cohen, and Boaz Bismuth align with their secondary standing in the same polls, while the slim probability assigned to no primary reflects the confirmed schedule despite ongoing procedural disputes. Traders appear to price in these member-driven dynamics and the single-day vote as the decisive factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions