Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月15日最低溫度？
吉達9月15日最低溫度？
31°C 99.5%
26°C或以下 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
28°C 1.0%
$1,459 交易量
$1,459 交易量
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
31°C 99.5%
26°C或以下 1.0%
27°C 1.0%
28°C 1.0%
$1,459 交易量
$1,459 交易量
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
$10 交易量
否
27°C
$10 交易量
否
28°C
$144 交易量
否
29°C
$154 交易量
否
30°C
$162 交易量
否
31°C
$260 交易量
是
32°C
$421 交易量
否
33°C
$184 交易量
否
34°C
$10 交易量
否
35°C
$10 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$95 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,459結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,459結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign overwhelming 97% implied probability to a 31°C low in Jeddah on September 15, 2026, reflecting stable hot-desert conditions with minimal overnight cooling. Mid-September climatology shows typical nighttime minima of 28–30°C under clear skies, high humidity near 50–70%, and light winds from the Red Sea that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus from official and private sources indicates the overnight low holding near 29–32°C with no significant fronts, rainfall, or wind shifts expected to drive further drops. This positioning aligns with historical September baselines where daily ranges stay narrow and temperatures rarely fall below 28°C absent unusual synoptic changes. A cooler outcome would require an atypical influx of drier air or cloud cover reducing the heat index, though current observations show no such developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions