**Forecast models and observational data point to an overnight minimum near 30–31°C in Jeddah on September 16, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and the moderating influence of the Red Sea.** Stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and low cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal cooling while elevated humidity sustains warmth, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 28–30°C. Multiple sources, including numerical weather prediction outputs, show overnight temperatures stabilizing in the 29–32°C range with no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture to alter the pattern. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official monitoring from agencies tracking regional pressure and sea surface temperatures will provide the next key signals ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月16日最低溫度?
33°C 78%
31°C 53%
29°C 32%
28°C 6%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
57%
32°C
33%
33°C
78%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
33°C 78%
31°C 53%
29°C 32%
28°C 6%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
57%
32°C
33%
33°C
78%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and observational data point to an overnight minimum near 30–31°C in Jeddah on September 16, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and the moderating influence of the Red Sea.** Stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and low cloud cover are expected to limit nocturnal cooling while elevated humidity sustains warmth, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 28–30°C. Multiple sources, including numerical weather prediction outputs, show overnight temperatures stabilizing in the 29–32°C range with no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture to alter the pattern. Traders appear to weigh this consensus heavily, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official monitoring from agencies tracking regional pressure and sea surface temperatures will provide the next key signals ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions