Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on September 2 because official forecasts from METMalaysia and regional models consistently project overnight minima of 24–25°C under typical equatorial conditions, with no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong monsoon surges or clear-sky radiative loss expected. Historical September climatology shows average daily lows near 24°C and rare excursions below 22°C, while current observations indicate stable humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler mid-tropospheric air or prolonged clear skies overnight, neither of which appears in the latest model consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日吉隆坡最低溫度？
9月2日吉隆坡最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,192 交易量
$1,192 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$1,192 交易量
$1,192 交易量
2026-09-02
20°C or below
$59 交易量
No
21°C
$59 交易量
No
22°C
$120 交易量
No
23°C
$57 交易量
No
24°C
$62 交易量
No
25°C
$52 交易量
No
26°C
$518 交易量
Yes
27°C
$60 交易量
No
28°C
$120 交易量
No
29°C
$35 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$50 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on September 2 because official forecasts from METMalaysia and regional models consistently project overnight minima of 24–25°C under typical equatorial conditions, with no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong monsoon surges or clear-sky radiative loss expected. Historical September climatology shows average daily lows near 24°C and rare excursions below 22°C, while current observations indicate stable humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler mid-tropospheric air or prolonged clear skies overnight, neither of which appears in the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,192結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on September 2 because official forecasts from METMalaysia and regional models consistently project overnight minima of 24–25°C under typical equatorial conditions, with no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong monsoon surges or clear-sky radiative loss expected. Historical September climatology shows average daily lows near 24°C and rare excursions below 22°C, while current observations indicate stable humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler mid-tropospheric air or prolonged clear skies overnight, neither of which appears in the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,192結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assign 100% implied probability to a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on September 2 because official forecasts from METMalaysia and regional models consistently project overnight minima of 24–25°C under typical equatorial conditions, with no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong monsoon surges or clear-sky radiative loss expected. Historical September climatology shows average daily lows near 24°C and rare excursions below 22°C, while current observations indicate stable humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an atypical influx of cooler mid-tropospheric air or prolonged clear skies overnight, neither of which appears in the latest model consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions