**Current forecast consensus from sources like AEMET and numerical models points to a daily minimum near 18–19°C for Madrid on September 9, driven by overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies after early scattered rain and moderate northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s that limit excessive heat loss.** Clearing cloud cover allows efficient longwave radiation emission from the surface, while higher dew points around 5–8°C and urban heat retention moderate the drop; historical September averages near 16.5°C provide context but recent warmer anomalies and specific steering patterns support the tighter range. Model runs show minor divergence on exact low timing and wind gusts, creating the close market split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with lower outcomes discounted absent stronger high-pressure subsidence or calmer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening and early morning will refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日馬德裏最低氣溫？
9月9日馬德裏最低氣溫？
19°C 52%
18°C 45%
16°C 9%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
45%
19°C
52%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
19°C 52%
18°C 45%
16°C 9%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
15°C或以下
$80 交易量
1%
16°C
$48 交易量
9%
17°C
$16 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
45%
19°C
$23 交易量
52%
20°C
$173 交易量
<1%
21°C
$444 交易量
<1%
22°C
$68 交易量
<1%
23°C
$86 交易量
<1%
24°C
$276 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$1,321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from sources like AEMET and numerical models points to a daily minimum near 18–19°C for Madrid on September 9, driven by overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies after early scattered rain and moderate northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s that limit excessive heat loss.**
Clearing cloud cover allows efficient longwave radiation emission from the surface, while higher dew points around 5–8°C and urban heat retention moderate the drop; historical September averages near 16.5°C provide context but recent warmer anomalies and specific steering patterns support the tighter range. Model runs show minor divergence on exact low timing and wind gusts, creating the close market split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with lower outcomes discounted absent stronger high-pressure subsidence or calmer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening and early morning will refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,533結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from sources like AEMET and numerical models points to a daily minimum near 18–19°C for Madrid on September 9, driven by overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies after early scattered rain and moderate northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s that limit excessive heat loss.**
Clearing cloud cover allows efficient longwave radiation emission from the surface, while higher dew points around 5–8°C and urban heat retention moderate the drop; historical September averages near 16.5°C provide context but recent warmer anomalies and specific steering patterns support the tighter range. Model runs show minor divergence on exact low timing and wind gusts, creating the close market split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with lower outcomes discounted absent stronger high-pressure subsidence or calmer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening and early morning will refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,533結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from sources like AEMET and numerical models points to a daily minimum near 18–19°C for Madrid on September 9, driven by overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies after early scattered rain and moderate northeasterly winds of 5–10 m/s that limit excessive heat loss.** Clearing cloud cover allows efficient longwave radiation emission from the surface, while higher dew points around 5–8°C and urban heat retention moderate the drop; historical September averages near 16.5°C provide context but recent warmer anomalies and specific steering patterns support the tighter range. Model runs show minor divergence on exact low timing and wind gusts, creating the close market split between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with lower outcomes discounted absent stronger high-pressure subsidence or calmer conditions. Updated guidance through the evening and early morning will refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions