Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure, aligning closely with historical August lows near 11°C while reflecting cooler recent patterns. This consensus across multiple models underpins the market's near-certain 9°C outcome, as traders incorporate verified observational baselines and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited variability. Deviations remain possible if rapid clear-sky radiational cooling or localized urban heat effects alter readings at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日莫斯科最低溫度?
9°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$4,240 交易量
$4,240 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$4,240 交易量
$4,240 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime minimum of 9°C in Moscow on August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure, aligning closely with historical August lows near 11°C while reflecting cooler recent patterns. This consensus across multiple models underpins the market's near-certain 9°C outcome, as traders incorporate verified observational baselines and short-range ensemble guidance showing limited variability. Deviations remain possible if rapid clear-sky radiational cooling or localized urban heat effects alter readings at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions