Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and models like GFS indicate Moscow's September 11 minimum will likely fall between 11–12°C overnight amid westerly winds of 5–7 m/s, patchy rain, and 70–80% cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official outlooks project a daytime peak near 17–19°C before the low, consistent with a warmer-than-average pattern but subject to small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–11°C because minor revisions in timing of clearing skies or frontal passage could easily shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, while historical September 11 lows average 8.8°C yet recent analogs favor milder conditions. Updated hourly observations and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月11日莫斯科最低溫度？
12°C 56%
11°C 20%
9°C 3%
7°C 1.0%
$744 交易量
$744 交易量
2026-09-11
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
12°C 56%
11°C 20%
9°C 3%
7°C 1.0%
$744 交易量
$744 交易量
2026-09-11
6°C或以下
$140 交易量
否
7°C
$30 交易量
否
8°C
$20 交易量
否
9°C
$38 交易量
否
10°C
$5 交易量
否
11°C
$5 交易量
否
12°C
$135 交易量
是
13°C
$41 交易量
否
14°C
$40 交易量
否
15°C
$5 交易量
否
16°C或更高
$285 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and models like GFS indicate Moscow's September 11 minimum will likely fall between 11–12°C overnight amid westerly winds of 5–7 m/s, patchy rain, and 70–80% cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official outlooks project a daytime peak near 17–19°C before the low, consistent with a warmer-than-average pattern but subject to small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–11°C because minor revisions in timing of clearing skies or frontal passage could easily shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, while historical September 11 lows average 8.8°C yet recent analogs favor milder conditions. Updated hourly observations and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$744結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and models like GFS indicate Moscow's September 11 minimum will likely fall between 11–12°C overnight amid westerly winds of 5–7 m/s, patchy rain, and 70–80% cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official outlooks project a daytime peak near 17–19°C before the low, consistent with a warmer-than-average pattern but subject to small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–11°C because minor revisions in timing of clearing skies or frontal passage could easily shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, while historical September 11 lows average 8.8°C yet recent analogs favor milder conditions. Updated hourly observations and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$744結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and models like GFS indicate Moscow's September 11 minimum will likely fall between 11–12°C overnight amid westerly winds of 5–7 m/s, patchy rain, and 70–80% cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official outlooks project a daytime peak near 17–19°C before the low, consistent with a warmer-than-average pattern but subject to small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 8–11°C because minor revisions in timing of clearing skies or frontal passage could easily shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C, while historical September 11 lows average 8.8°C yet recent analogs favor milder conditions. Updated hourly observations and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions