Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月10日巴黎最低溫度？
6月10日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 交易量
$37,942 交易量
2026-06-10
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
12°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 交易量
$37,942 交易量
2026-06-10
7°C或以下
$1,027 交易量
否
8°C
$1,624 交易量
否
9°C
$1,143 交易量
否
10°C
$3,179 交易量
否
11°C
$4,066 交易量
否
12°C
$5,964 交易量
是
13°C
$13,942 交易量
否
14°C
$4,351 交易量
否
15°C
$944 交易量
否
16°C
$934 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$769 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$37,942結束日期
2026-06-10市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,942結束日期
2026-06-10市場開放時間
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions