**Trader consensus at 97% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends.** Clear skies overnight combined with northwesterly flow have supported efficient radiational cooling, positioning the minimum near the long-term climatological average of 12.2°C for the date. Model runs from European meteorological centers show limited spread around this value, with surface observations early in the period confirming temperatures tracking the expected nocturnal decline without significant warm advection. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum recorded at the reference station; modest increases in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could push readings 1–2°C higher, while stronger high pressure and drier air would be required to dip meaningfully below the consensus level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日巴黎最低溫度？
9月9日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 97%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
97%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
12°C 97%
9°C 2%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
9°C
$71 交易量
2%
10°C
$89 交易量
2%
11°C
$274 交易量
2%
12°C
$1,143 交易量
97%
13°C
$3,239 交易量
<1%
14°C
$358 交易量
<1%
15°C
$144 交易量
<1%
16°C
$143 交易量
<1%
17°C
$99 交易量
<1%
18°C或以上
$182 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 97% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends.** Clear skies overnight combined with northwesterly flow have supported efficient radiational cooling, positioning the minimum near the long-term climatological average of 12.2°C for the date. Model runs from European meteorological centers show limited spread around this value, with surface observations early in the period confirming temperatures tracking the expected nocturnal decline without significant warm advection. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum recorded at the reference station; modest increases in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could push readings 1–2°C higher, while stronger high pressure and drier air would be required to dip meaningfully below the consensus level.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,787結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 97% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends.** Clear skies overnight combined with northwesterly flow have supported efficient radiational cooling, positioning the minimum near the long-term climatological average of 12.2°C for the date. Model runs from European meteorological centers show limited spread around this value, with surface observations early in the period confirming temperatures tracking the expected nocturnal decline without significant warm advection. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum recorded at the reference station; modest increases in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could push readings 1–2°C higher, while stronger high pressure and drier air would be required to dip meaningfully below the consensus level.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,787結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader consensus at 97% for a 12°C low in Paris on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance and real-time observational trends.** Clear skies overnight combined with northwesterly flow have supported efficient radiational cooling, positioning the minimum near the long-term climatological average of 12.2°C for the date. Model runs from European meteorological centers show limited spread around this value, with surface observations early in the period confirming temperatures tracking the expected nocturnal decline without significant warm advection. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour minimum recorded at the reference station; modest increases in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could push readings 1–2°C higher, while stronger high pressure and drier air would be required to dip meaningfully below the consensus level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions