Official meteorological observations confirm a minimum of 9°C in Paris on September 10, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight allowed temperatures to drop to this level, consistent with guidance from regional models and historical September norms around 12°C. Real-time station data through evening hours aligned closely with the expected diurnal range, leaving minimal room for deviation. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty typical when final verification nears, though an unusual late-night drop or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift the recorded low by a degree. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from primary Paris stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日巴黎最低溫度?
9°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$8,643 交易量
$8,643 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$8,643 交易量
$8,643 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations confirm a minimum of 9°C in Paris on September 10, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling overnight allowed temperatures to drop to this level, consistent with guidance from regional models and historical September norms around 12°C. Real-time station data through evening hours aligned closely with the expected diurnal range, leaving minimal room for deviation. Trader positioning reflects the narrow uncertainty typical when final verification nears, though an unusual late-night drop or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift the recorded low by a degree. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum from primary Paris stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions