Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日青島最低氣溫？
9月8日青島最低氣溫？
18°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$2,019 交易量
$2,019 交易量
2026-09-08
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$2,019 交易量
$2,019 交易量
2026-09-08
15°C或以下
$230 交易量
否
16°C
$208 交易量
否
17°C
$232 交易量
否
18°C
$218 交易量
是
19°C
$163 交易量
否
20°C
$106 交易量
否
21°C
$174 交易量
否
22°C
$58 交易量
否
23°C
$513 交易量
否
24°C
$63 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$58 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,019結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,019結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns confirm a minimum temperature of 18°C in Qingdao on September 8, 2026, driven by clear skies, northerly winds around 4–5 m/s, and radiative cooling under stable high-pressure conditions typical for early autumn in the Yellow Sea region. This aligns with climatological baselines for September, where overnight lows often settle near 18–20°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, as real-time station data and ensemble model outputs show no deviation below or above the threshold once the diurnal minimum passed. An unseasonal cold front or measurement revision from official stations could still alter resolution, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions