**Trader consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature in Singapore on August 27, 2026, stems from persistent southwest monsoon conditions that maintain elevated nighttime minima across the island.** Recent observations from Changi and other stations show overnight lows holding in the 25–28°C range, with August 26 recording a minimum of 25.4°C and current model guidance for the 27th pointing to a floor near 26–27°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and light southeast winds. Historical climatology supports this positioning, as mean daily minima in August average 25.3°C, rarely falling below 24°C without significant synoptic disruption. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects the low likelihood of rapid cooling in Singapore’s stable tropical environment. An unexpected surge in convective activity or a temporary wind shift could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C or lower, though forecast consensus from regional models shows no such development before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月27日的最低溫度?
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$14,615 交易量
$14,615 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$14,615 交易量
$14,615 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature in Singapore on August 27, 2026, stems from persistent southwest monsoon conditions that maintain elevated nighttime minima across the island.** Recent observations from Changi and other stations show overnight lows holding in the 25–28°C range, with August 26 recording a minimum of 25.4°C and current model guidance for the 27th pointing to a floor near 26–27°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and light southeast winds. Historical climatology supports this positioning, as mean daily minima in August average 25.3°C, rarely falling below 24°C without significant synoptic disruption. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects the low likelihood of rapid cooling in Singapore’s stable tropical environment. An unexpected surge in convective activity or a temporary wind shift could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C or lower, though forecast consensus from regional models shows no such development before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions