Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Singapore's overnight low on September 13 will reach approximately 27°C, consistent with the market's 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. Singapore's equatorial climate produces minimal diurnal and seasonal temperature variation, with September historical minima averaging near 25°C at stations like Changi; recent model runs show stable southeast monsoon flow and high humidity maintaining nighttime readings in the 26–28°C range. Trader consensus reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical climatology. A realistic shift below 27°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or enhanced cloud cover and rainfall not currently indicated in consensus models, though such developments remain possible given forecast uncertainty ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡9月13日的最低溫度?
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,425 交易量
$1,425 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,425 交易量
$1,425 交易量
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Singapore's overnight low on September 13 will reach approximately 27°C, consistent with the market's 97.5% implied probability for that outcome. Singapore's equatorial climate produces minimal diurnal and seasonal temperature variation, with September historical minima averaging near 25°C at stations like Changi; recent model runs show stable southeast monsoon flow and high humidity maintaining nighttime readings in the 26–28°C range. Trader consensus reflects this alignment between official guidance and typical climatology. A realistic shift below 27°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or enhanced cloud cover and rainfall not currently indicated in consensus models, though such developments remain possible given forecast uncertainty ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions