Consensus from major forecast models, including those from the Met Office and BBC, points to an overnight low near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and elevated late-summer humidity that restricts radiational cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. These stable atmospheric patterns align with climatological norms for the region, where August overnight minima typically range 24–27°C absent significant frontal systems or precipitation. Trader positioning at 99.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability in current observations. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could introduce minor cooling, though such changes remain improbable based on the latest guidance ahead of official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日武漢最低氣溫？
8月21日武漢最低氣溫？
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,309 交易量
$2,309 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,309 交易量
$2,309 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C或以下
$290 交易量
否
23°C
$239 交易量
否
24°C
$239 交易量
否
25°C
$195 交易量
否
26°C
$678 交易量
是
27°C
$153 交易量
否
28°C
$205 交易量
否
29°C
$25 交易量
否
30°C
$95 交易量
否
31°C
$95 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$95 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus from major forecast models, including those from the Met Office and BBC, points to an overnight low near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and elevated late-summer humidity that restricts radiational cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. These stable atmospheric patterns align with climatological norms for the region, where August overnight minima typically range 24–27°C absent significant frontal systems or precipitation. Trader positioning at 99.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability in current observations. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could introduce minor cooling, though such changes remain improbable based on the latest guidance ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,309結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus from major forecast models, including those from the Met Office and BBC, points to an overnight low near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and elevated late-summer humidity that restricts radiational cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. These stable atmospheric patterns align with climatological norms for the region, where August overnight minima typically range 24–27°C absent significant frontal systems or precipitation. Trader positioning at 99.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability in current observations. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could introduce minor cooling, though such changes remain improbable based on the latest guidance ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,309結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Consensus from major forecast models, including those from the Met Office and BBC, points to an overnight low near 26°C in Wuhan on August 21, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and elevated late-summer humidity that restricts radiational cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. These stable atmospheric patterns align with climatological norms for the region, where August overnight minima typically range 24–27°C absent significant frontal systems or precipitation. Trader positioning at 99.5% for 26°C reflects this model agreement and limited variability in current observations. A rapid shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could introduce minor cooling, though such changes remain improbable based on the latest guidance ahead of official station verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions