Forecast models from multiple agencies indicate Wuhan's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 50-65% and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, keeping the minimum above the seasonal average of roughly 20°C. This narrow range between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor variations in model timing of any clearing or local urban heat effects, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations expected to resolve the market. Trader odds closely track these consensus outputs rather than outlier runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日武漢最低氣溫?
23°C 99.5%
16°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$1,218 交易量
$1,218 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
23°C 99.5%
16°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
17°C <1%
$1,218 交易量
$1,218 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from multiple agencies indicate Wuhan's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 50-65% and persistent cloud cover further suppress temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, keeping the minimum above the seasonal average of roughly 20°C. This narrow range between 22°C and 23°C reflects minor variations in model timing of any clearing or local urban heat effects, with official Chinese Meteorological Administration observations expected to resolve the market. Trader odds closely track these consensus outputs rather than outlier runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions