Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in federal contests for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure in statewide races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 Democratic primary against Seth Moulton, with recent polling showing Markey ahead but both candidates positioned well to the left of the general electorate. Republican primary contenders, including John Deaton, operate in a state where the party has not won a Senate seat since 2010. Trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory aligns with these structural patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions. Outcomes could shift only through an unexpected primary result followed by nominee-specific vulnerabilities or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Massachusetts' baseline lean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$18,799 交易量
98%
共和黨
$5,426 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in federal contests for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure in statewide races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 Democratic primary against Seth Moulton, with recent polling showing Markey ahead but both candidates positioned well to the left of the general electorate. Republican primary contenders, including John Deaton, operate in a state where the party has not won a Senate seat since 2010. Trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory aligns with these structural patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions. Outcomes could shift only through an unexpected primary result followed by nominee-specific vulnerabilities or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Massachusetts' baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$24,225結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in federal contests for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure in statewide races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 Democratic primary against Seth Moulton, with recent polling showing Markey ahead but both candidates positioned well to the left of the general electorate. Republican primary contenders, including John Deaton, operate in a state where the party has not won a Senate seat since 2010. Trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory aligns with these structural patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions. Outcomes could shift only through an unexpected primary result followed by nominee-specific vulnerabilities or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Massachusetts' baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,225結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in federal contests for over a decade, reflecting the state's partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure in statewide races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 Democratic primary against Seth Moulton, with recent polling showing Markey ahead but both candidates positioned well to the left of the general electorate. Republican primary contenders, including John Deaton, operate in a state where the party has not won a Senate seat since 2010. Trader consensus on a Democratic general-election victory aligns with these structural patterns and the absence of major recent disruptions. Outcomes could shift only through an unexpected primary result followed by nominee-specific vulnerabilities or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes Massachusetts' baseline lean.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions