Google's ongoing delays to the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally teased for June at I/O 2026 and slipped to July for additional agentic and coding refinements—have shifted trader focus toward frequent 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 launches of 3.8 Flash, 3.8 Flash Cyber, and 3.8 Live variants optimized for reasoning, cybersecurity, and real-time voice agents. Training on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has begun, but the next true Pro model remains in testing amid competition from models like GPT-6 and Claude successors. Prediction markets currently cluster implied release odds around mid-to-late October 2026, with key catalysts including any official DeepMind announcements or benchmark disclosures that could resolve the timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,322,497 交易量
2026-10-31
September 30
10%
October 31
85%
10 月 15 日
48%
$1,322,497 交易量
September 30
$104,160 交易量
10%
October 31
$31,099 交易量
85%
10 月 15 日
$18,581 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays to the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally teased for June at I/O 2026 and slipped to July for additional agentic and coding refinements—have shifted trader focus toward frequent 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 launches of 3.8 Flash, 3.8 Flash Cyber, and 3.8 Live variants optimized for reasoning, cybersecurity, and real-time voice agents. Training on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has begun, but the next true Pro model remains in testing amid competition from models like GPT-6 and Claude successors. Prediction markets currently cluster implied release odds around mid-to-late October 2026, with key catalysts including any official DeepMind announcements or benchmark disclosures that could resolve the timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,322,497結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays to the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally teased for June at I/O 2026 and slipped to July for additional agentic and coding refinements—have shifted trader focus toward frequent 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 launches of 3.8 Flash, 3.8 Flash Cyber, and 3.8 Live variants optimized for reasoning, cybersecurity, and real-time voice agents. Training on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has begun, but the next true Pro model remains in testing amid competition from models like GPT-6 and Claude successors. Prediction markets currently cluster implied release odds around mid-to-late October 2026, with key catalysts including any official DeepMind announcements or benchmark disclosures that could resolve the timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,322,497結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETGoogle's ongoing delays to the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—originally teased for June at I/O 2026 and slipped to July for additional agentic and coding refinements—have shifted trader focus toward frequent 3.x Flash releases, including the September 2026 launches of 3.8 Flash, 3.8 Flash Cyber, and 3.8 Live variants optimized for reasoning, cybersecurity, and real-time voice agents. Training on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has begun, but the next true Pro model remains in testing amid competition from models like GPT-6 and Claude successors. Prediction markets currently cluster implied release odds around mid-to-late October 2026, with key catalysts including any official DeepMind announcements or benchmark disclosures that could resolve the timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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