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選舉·全球選舉

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
選舉·全球選舉

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 22%

Christine Fréchette 10.4%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$26,850 交易量

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 69%

Charles Milliard 22%

Christine Fréchette 10.4%

Éric Duhaime 1.1%

Polymarket

$26,850 交易量

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,641 交易量

65%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,821 交易量

22%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,262 交易量

13%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 交易量

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 交易量

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 交易量

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's next premier because recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals tied near 32 percent in popular support ahead of the October 2026 election, yet PQ strength in francophone ridings projects a National Assembly majority under the current electoral map. Charles Milliard, acclaimed Liberal leader in February after Pablo Rodriguez's resignation, has narrowed the gap by improving party fortunes in Montreal and anglophone areas. Christine Fréchette leads a Coalition Avenir Québec hampered by voter fatigue following François Legault's January exit, while Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates remain marginal in the two-way contest. Scheduled debates and ongoing polling shifts could still alter seat projections before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,850
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's next premier because recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberals tied near 32 percent in popular support ahead of the October 2026 election, yet PQ strength in francophone ridings projects a National Assembly majority under the current electoral map. Charles Milliard, acclaimed Liberal leader in February after Pablo Rodriguez's resignation, has narrowed the gap by improving party fortunes in Montreal and anglophone areas. Christine Fréchette leads a Coalition Avenir Québec hampered by voter fatigue following François Legault's January exit, while Éric Duhaime and smaller-party candidates remain marginal in the two-way contest. Scheduled debates and ongoing polling shifts could still alter seat projections before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,850
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Premier of Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 65%, followed by "Charles Milliard" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Premier of Quebec" has generated $26.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Premier of Quebec," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Premier of Quebec" is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Milliard" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Premier of Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.