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icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

icon for 紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

20-39 52%

40-59 40%

60-79 12.5%

<20 1.1%

Polymarket

$20,159 交易量

20-39 52%

40-59 40%

60-79 12.5%

<20 1.1%

Polymarket

$20,159 交易量

<20

$1,824 交易量

1%

20-39

$6,503 交易量

52%

40-59

$4,976 交易量

40%

60-79

$2,642 交易量

7%

80-99

$936 交易量

<1%

100-119

$575 交易量

<1%

120-139

$453 交易量

<1%

140-159

$553 交易量

<1%

160-179

$547 交易量

<1%

180-199

$575 交易量

<1%

200+

$575 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, NYC’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a steady X posting pace through @NYCMayor that centers on daily policy announcements, event promotions, and administration updates. This established pattern, typically producing several posts per day without major spikes, drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 and 40-59 ranges for the August 14-21 window. Recent mid-August activity, including announcements on Dominican heritage events, child-care expansions, and student programs, supports moderate volume consistent with historical weekly totals rather than elevated output from crises or campaigns. No scheduled high-profile developments appear positioned to shift activity outside these buckets before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,159
結束日期
2026-08-21
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, NYC’s mayor since January 2026, maintains a steady X posting pace through @NYCMayor that centers on daily policy announcements, event promotions, and administration updates. This established pattern, typically producing several posts per day without major spikes, drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 and 40-59 ranges for the August 14-21 window. Recent mid-August activity, including announcements on Dominican heritage events, child-care expansions, and student programs, supports moderate volume consistent with historical weekly totals rather than elevated output from crises or campaigns. No scheduled high-profile developments appear positioned to shift activity outside these buckets before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$20,159
結束日期
2026-08-21
市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 52%, followed by "40-59" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?" has generated $20.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?" is "20-39" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約市長#職位2026年8月14日至8月21日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.