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Politics·Bolojan

Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by...?
Politics·Bolojan

Romanian parliament dissolved by...?

$91,533 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$91,533 交易量

Polymarket

$91,533 交易量

5%

August 31

$0 交易量

35%

December 31

$0 交易量

45%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament, elected in December 2024 for a full term ending in 2028, shows no credible path to dissolution by July 31 amid the ongoing government formation process following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan. President Nicușor Dan has prioritized consultations to assemble a new pro-European coalition from mainstream parties rather than repeated prime ministerial nominations that could trigger constitutional dissolution powers, which remain discretionary and have never been exercised since 1989. Moderate parties resist early elections due to polling showing far-right AUR in the lead, while AUR itself lacks the leverage to force the outcome. The narrow remaining window and focus on interim stability reinforce trader consensus against dissolution, though a complete breakdown in coalition talks before the deadline could still alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$91,533
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament, elected in December 2024 for a full term ending in 2028, shows no credible path to dissolution by July 31 amid the ongoing government formation process following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan. President Nicușor Dan has prioritized consultations to assemble a new pro-European coalition from mainstream parties rather than repeated prime ministerial nominations that could trigger constitutional dissolution powers, which remain discretionary and have never been exercised since 1989. Moderate parties resist early elections due to polling showing far-right AUR in the lead, while AUR itself lacks the leverage to force the outcome. The narrow remaining window and focus on interim stability reinforce trader consensus against dissolution, though a complete breakdown in coalition talks before the deadline could still alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$91,533
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 45%, followed by "August 31" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" has generated $91.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" is "December 31" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Romanian parliament dissolved by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.