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icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

icon for 羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?

$111,764 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$111,764 交易量

Polymarket

August 31

$177 交易量

9%

December 31

$5 交易量

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament remains intact amid a prolonged government formation crisis that began when the Social Democratic Party withdrew from the ruling coalition in April 2026, followed by a May no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's cabinet. Under constitutional rules, President Nicusor Dan may dissolve parliament and call snap elections only after two prime minister-designates fail to secure confidence votes within a 60-day window, though dissolution is discretionary rather than mandatory. A second failed nomination in late June extended the deadlock into summer recess without further progress, while regular elections are scheduled for 2028. Traders assess low odds of dissolution by year-end due to institutional reluctance to trigger early polls, ongoing party negotiations, and the absence of any dissolution precedent since 1989.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$111,764
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament remains intact amid a prolonged government formation crisis that began when the Social Democratic Party withdrew from the ruling coalition in April 2026, followed by a May no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's cabinet. Under constitutional rules, President Nicusor Dan may dissolve parliament and call snap elections only after two prime minister-designates fail to secure confidence votes within a 60-day window, though dissolution is discretionary rather than mandatory. A second failed nomination in late June extended the deadlock into summer recess without further progress, while regular elections are scheduled for 2028. Traders assess low odds of dissolution by year-end due to institutional reluctance to trigger early polls, ongoing party negotiations, and the absence of any dissolution precedent since 1989.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$111,764
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 27%, followed by "August 31" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" has generated $111.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" is "December 31" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅馬尼亞議會被...解散?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.