United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in candidate registration and media access, and the exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition groups. Kremlin preparations, including party primaries and regional mobilization efforts, reinforce expectations of a constitutional majority similar to prior cycles. Recent regional votes and polling aggregates show the party ahead of competitors such as the CPRF, LDPR, and others, though some independent surveys indicate softer support amid economic pressures. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include significant escalations in the Ukraine conflict, sharp economic downturns, or unforeseen leadership changes, any of which might influence turnout or protest voting within the constrained electoral environment. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural barriers to meaningful shifts in parliamentary control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯（ER） 98.4%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） <1%
雅布洛科 <1%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） <1%
$3,078,179 交易量
$3,078,179 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯（ER）
98%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
1%
雅布洛科
1%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
1%
新人物黨（NL）
<1%
公正俄羅斯－為了真理黨（SRZP）
<1%
羅迪納
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
統一俄羅斯（ER） 98.4%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） <1%
雅布洛科 <1%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） <1%
$3,078,179 交易量
$3,078,179 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯（ER）
$765,863 交易量
98%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
$195,146 交易量
1%
雅布洛科
$22,275 交易量
1%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
$152,291 交易量
1%
新人物黨（NL）
$128,355 交易量
<1%
公正俄羅斯－為了真理黨（SRZP）
$722,354 交易量
<1%
羅迪納
$496,477 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$595,418 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in candidate registration and media access, and the exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition groups. Kremlin preparations, including party primaries and regional mobilization efforts, reinforce expectations of a constitutional majority similar to prior cycles. Recent regional votes and polling aggregates show the party ahead of competitors such as the CPRF, LDPR, and others, though some independent surveys indicate softer support amid economic pressures. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include significant escalations in the Ukraine conflict, sharp economic downturns, or unforeseen leadership changes, any of which might influence turnout or protest voting within the constrained electoral environment. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural barriers to meaningful shifts in parliamentary control.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,078,179結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in candidate registration and media access, and the exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition groups. Kremlin preparations, including party primaries and regional mobilization efforts, reinforce expectations of a constitutional majority similar to prior cycles. Recent regional votes and polling aggregates show the party ahead of competitors such as the CPRF, LDPR, and others, though some independent surveys indicate softer support amid economic pressures. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include significant escalations in the Ukraine conflict, sharp economic downturns, or unforeseen leadership changes, any of which might influence turnout or protest voting within the constrained electoral environment. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural barriers to meaningful shifts in parliamentary control.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,078,179結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in candidate registration and media access, and the exclusion or marginalization of non-systemic opposition groups. Kremlin preparations, including party primaries and regional mobilization efforts, reinforce expectations of a constitutional majority similar to prior cycles. Recent regional votes and polling aggregates show the party ahead of competitors such as the CPRF, LDPR, and others, though some independent surveys indicate softer support amid economic pressures. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include significant escalations in the Ukraine conflict, sharp economic downturns, or unforeseen leadership changes, any of which might influence turnout or protest voting within the constrained electoral environment. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural barriers to meaningful shifts in parliamentary control.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions