**Despite committee advances on narrower AI measures and ongoing Senate negotiations, significant barriers make enactment of a comprehensive federal AI safety bill before 2027 unlikely.** Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and drafts led by Sens. Thune, Klobuchar, and Cruz have progressed on issues like incident reporting, independent audits, and duties to mitigate catastrophic risks from frontier models, yet key disputes persist over liability standards, state-law preemption, and enforcement scope. The House is scheduled to recess until after the November midterms, leaving minimal floor time, while the administration has signaled opposition to expansive new regulation. Recent insider warnings have heightened urgency but have not yet produced the consensus needed for passage in the current session.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
10% 機率
$136,103 交易量
$136,103 交易量
2026-12-31
是
10% 機率
$136,103 交易量
$136,103 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Despite committee advances on narrower AI measures and ongoing Senate negotiations, significant barriers make enactment of a comprehensive federal AI safety bill before 2027 unlikely.** Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and drafts led by Sens. Thune, Klobuchar, and Cruz have progressed on issues like incident reporting, independent audits, and duties to mitigate catastrophic risks from frontier models, yet key disputes persist over liability standards, state-law preemption, and enforcement scope. The House is scheduled to recess until after the November midterms, leaving minimal floor time, while the administration has signaled opposition to expansive new regulation. Recent insider warnings have heightened urgency but have not yet produced the consensus needed for passage in the current session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$136,103結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Despite committee advances on narrower AI measures and ongoing Senate negotiations, significant barriers make enactment of a comprehensive federal AI safety bill before 2027 unlikely.** Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and drafts led by Sens. Thune, Klobuchar, and Cruz have progressed on issues like incident reporting, independent audits, and duties to mitigate catastrophic risks from frontier models, yet key disputes persist over liability standards, state-law preemption, and enforcement scope. The House is scheduled to recess until after the November midterms, leaving minimal floor time, while the administration has signaled opposition to expansive new regulation. Recent insider warnings have heightened urgency but have not yet produced the consensus needed for passage in the current session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$136,103結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET**Despite committee advances on narrower AI measures and ongoing Senate negotiations, significant barriers make enactment of a comprehensive federal AI safety bill before 2027 unlikely.** Bipartisan proposals such as the FRONTIER Act and drafts led by Sens. Thune, Klobuchar, and Cruz have progressed on issues like incident reporting, independent audits, and duties to mitigate catastrophic risks from frontier models, yet key disputes persist over liability standards, state-law preemption, and enforcement scope. The House is scheduled to recess until after the November midterms, leaving minimal floor time, while the administration has signaled opposition to expansive new regulation. Recent insider warnings have heightened urgency but have not yet produced the consensus needed for passage in the current session.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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