Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014—reverting the group to G7 over the Crimea annexation—remains firmly in place amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, driving trader consensus to a 93% implied probability against readmission before 2027. President Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in rejoining, dismissing the G7 as irrelevant, while G7 leaders' February 2026 statement reiterated demands for a Russian ceasefire and full withdrawal from Ukraine as prerequisites for any normalization. Recent G7 foreign and finance ministers' meetings, including October 2025 pledges to target Russia's shadow fleet and war economy, underscore unified sanctions and support for Kyiv, with no diplomatic signals of thaw despite isolated past suggestions like former U.S. President Trump's. Absent a major peace agreement or concessions, structural barriers persist through the December 2026 resolution deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$14,775 交易量
$14,775 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$14,775 交易量
$14,775 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014—reverting the group to G7 over the Crimea annexation—remains firmly in place amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, driving trader consensus to a 93% implied probability against readmission before 2027. President Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in rejoining, dismissing the G7 as irrelevant, while G7 leaders' February 2026 statement reiterated demands for a Russian ceasefire and full withdrawal from Ukraine as prerequisites for any normalization. Recent G7 foreign and finance ministers' meetings, including October 2025 pledges to target Russia's shadow fleet and war economy, underscore unified sanctions and support for Kyiv, with no diplomatic signals of thaw despite isolated past suggestions like former U.S. President Trump's. Absent a major peace agreement or concessions, structural barriers persist through the December 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$14,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014—reverting the group to G7 over the Crimea annexation—remains firmly in place amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, driving trader consensus to a 93% implied probability against readmission before 2027. President Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in rejoining, dismissing the G7 as irrelevant, while G7 leaders' February 2026 statement reiterated demands for a Russian ceasefire and full withdrawal from Ukraine as prerequisites for any normalization. Recent G7 foreign and finance ministers' meetings, including October 2025 pledges to target Russia's shadow fleet and war economy, underscore unified sanctions and support for Kyiv, with no diplomatic signals of thaw despite isolated past suggestions like former U.S. President Trump's. Absent a major peace agreement or concessions, structural barriers persist through the December 2026 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$14,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014—reverting the group to G7 over the Crimea annexation—remains firmly in place amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, driving trader consensus to a 93% implied probability against readmission before 2027. President Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in rejoining, dismissing the G7 as irrelevant, while G7 leaders' February 2026 statement reiterated demands for a Russian ceasefire and full withdrawal from Ukraine as prerequisites for any normalization. Recent G7 foreign and finance ministers' meetings, including October 2025 pledges to target Russia's shadow fleet and war economy, underscore unified sanctions and support for Kyiv, with no diplomatic signals of thaw despite isolated past suggestions like former U.S. President Trump's. Absent a major peace agreement or concessions, structural barriers persist through the December 2026 resolution deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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