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icon for 金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？

金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？

icon for 金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？

金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？

12月 31

12月 31

是

13% 機率
Polymarket

$38,205 交易量

是

13% 機率
Polymarket

$38,205 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BRICS has completed its most recent wave of full-member additions, with Indonesia formally joining in January 2025 to bring the total to eleven countries.** Following the 2024 intake of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, the bloc introduced a new “partner country” category that absorbed ten nations (including Belarus, Bolivia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Vietnam) in 2025. In May 2026, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov explicitly stated that BRICS would not rush additional full-member expansion, stressing the need to consolidate operations after rapid growth. India’s 2026 chairship has prioritized institutional resilience, innovation, and south-south cooperation over further enlargement, with the New Delhi summit and sectoral meetings focused on integrating existing partners rather than approving new applicants. Although dozens of countries have expressed interest, the absence of any scheduled accession decisions or consensus-building for 2026 full membership underpins traders’ strong expectation that no new member will be added this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$38,205
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BRICS has completed its most recent wave of full-member additions, with Indonesia formally joining in January 2025 to bring the total to eleven countries.** Following the 2024 intake of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, the bloc introduced a new “partner country” category that absorbed ten nations (including Belarus, Bolivia, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan, and Vietnam) in 2025. In May 2026, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov explicitly stated that BRICS would not rush additional full-member expansion, stressing the need to consolidate operations after rapid growth. India’s 2026 chairship has prioritized institutional resilience, innovation, and south-south cooperation over further enlargement, with the New Delhi summit and sectoral meetings focused on integrating existing partners rather than approving new applicants. Although dozens of countries have expressed interest, the absence of any scheduled accession decisions or consensus-building for 2026 full membership underpins traders’ strong expectation that no new member will be added this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$38,205
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "金磚國家會在2026年新增成員嗎？" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？" has generated $38.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？" is "金磚國家會在2026年新增成員嗎？" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "金磚國家會在2026年加入新成員國嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.