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icon for 一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？

一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？

icon for 一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？

一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？

12月 31

12月 31

是

11% 機率
Polymarket

$76,264 交易量

是

11% 機率
Polymarket

$76,264 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No country is expected to exit BRICS in 2026, aligning with the 88.9% implied probability for that outcome.** The bloc, now comprising 11 full members following expansions through 2025, continues active cooperation under India's 2026 chairmanship, with themes centered on resilience, innovation, and sustainability. Foreign ministers met in New Delhi in May 2026, issuing a chair's statement despite noted differences on regional issues such as developments involving Iran. Earlier naval exercises hosted by South Africa saw partial participation from some founding members, reflecting varied national priorities amid broader U.S. trade policy pressures. No official announcements or confirmed actions by any member indicate withdrawal intent. Focus remains on internal consolidation, partner country frameworks, and scheduled summits rather than departures, consistent with historical patterns where formal exits have been rare since the group's formation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,264
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No country is expected to exit BRICS in 2026, aligning with the 88.9% implied probability for that outcome.** The bloc, now comprising 11 full members following expansions through 2025, continues active cooperation under India's 2026 chairmanship, with themes centered on resilience, innovation, and sustainability. Foreign ministers met in New Delhi in May 2026, issuing a chair's statement despite noted differences on regional issues such as developments involving Iran. Earlier naval exercises hosted by South Africa saw partial participation from some founding members, reflecting varied national priorities amid broader U.S. trade policy pressures. No official announcements or confirmed actions by any member indicate withdrawal intent. Focus remains on internal consolidation, partner country frameworks, and scheduled summits rather than departures, consistent with historical patterns where formal exits have been rare since the group's formation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$76,264
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年會有國家退出金磚國家嗎？" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？" has generated $76.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？" is "2026年會有國家退出金磚國家嗎？" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "一個國家會在2026年離開金磚國家嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.