Ukrainian forces have not conducted any confirmed ground operations to re-enter Uspenivka, a village in Zaporizhzhia Oblast captured by Russian troops in late 2025 near the Hulyaipole axis. Russian control persists without verified Ukrainian territorial gains in the immediate area as of mid-May 2026, according to frontline mapping. Ukrainian efforts have instead centered on long-range drone and missile strikes targeting Russian command posts, ammunition depots, and drone facilities near Uspenivka in early April, part of a broader campaign to disrupt logistics over 100 kilometers behind the line. Nearby Ukrainian advances in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and incremental pressure around Hulyaipole have not extended to a direct push for re-entry, amid slower Russian territorial gains overall and sustained Ukrainian unmanned systems operations. Resolution hinges on any future ground capture confirmed by established maps, with scheduled Ukrainian strikes and potential counteroffensive adjustments as the primary near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$121,710 交易量
5月31日
17%
$121,710 交易量
5月31日
17%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Apr 21, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have not conducted any confirmed ground operations to re-enter Uspenivka, a village in Zaporizhzhia Oblast captured by Russian troops in late 2025 near the Hulyaipole axis. Russian control persists without verified Ukrainian territorial gains in the immediate area as of mid-May 2026, according to frontline mapping. Ukrainian efforts have instead centered on long-range drone and missile strikes targeting Russian command posts, ammunition depots, and drone facilities near Uspenivka in early April, part of a broader campaign to disrupt logistics over 100 kilometers behind the line. Nearby Ukrainian advances in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and incremental pressure around Hulyaipole have not extended to a direct push for re-entry, amid slower Russian territorial gains overall and sustained Ukrainian unmanned systems operations. Resolution hinges on any future ground capture confirmed by established maps, with scheduled Ukrainian strikes and potential counteroffensive adjustments as the primary near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions