The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.3亿+ 27%
1.2亿-1.25亿 19%
1.15亿-1.2亿 16%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
<1%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
1%
1.05亿-1.1亿
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
11%
1.15亿-1.2亿
16%
1.2亿-1.25亿
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
24%
1.3亿+
27%
1.3亿+ 27%
1.2亿-1.25亿 19%
1.15亿-1.2亿 16%
1.25亿-1.3亿 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$324 交易量
<1%
8500万-9000万
$419 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,552 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$269 交易量
1%
1亿-1.05亿
$791 交易量
1%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$436 交易量
6%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$526 交易量
11%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$1,025 交易量
16%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$408 交易量
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,204 交易量
24%
1.3亿+
$307 交易量
27%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,260结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,260结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across the 120–130 million range for total House votes in the 2026 midterms stem from uncertainty over base mobilization in an off-year contest marked by President Trump’s sub-45 percent approval rating and a small number of truly competitive districts. Recent primary turnout records in states such as Texas and North Carolina indicate elevated engagement on both sides, yet broader historical patterns show midterm participation typically trails presidential-year levels. Low public trust in institutions and polarization could further suppress or spur turnout depending on economic conditions, campaign intensity in swing districts, and any late developments in congressional control battles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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