The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,855 交易量
92%
共和党
$715 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$2,569结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,569结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 7th congressional district, combined with incumbent Doris Matsui's long record of securing federal funding for local infrastructure and flood protection projects, underpins traders' 91.5 percent consensus that the party will retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the district as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting its voter registration edge and consistent performance in prior cycles. The June 2 top-two primary, where Matsui holds a clear lead in available polling against challenger Mai Vang, is unlikely to alter the general-election matchup. Only an unforeseen national political realignment or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could realistically narrow the margin enough to shift the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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