The heavily Democratic partisan lean of California's 17th congressional district, combined with five-term incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win in November 2026. The district's Silicon Valley base and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles have produced no viable Republican challengers to date. With the June 2 top-two primary featuring only Democratic candidates, the race remains structurally locked for the party. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting adjustments before the general election ballot is finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,587 交易量
97%
共和党
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan lean of California's 17th congressional district, combined with five-term incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win in November 2026. The district's Silicon Valley base and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles have produced no viable Republican challengers to date. With the June 2 top-two primary featuring only Democratic candidates, the race remains structurally locked for the party. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting adjustments before the general election ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$7,587结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan lean of California's 17th congressional district, combined with five-term incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win in November 2026. The district's Silicon Valley base and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles have produced no viable Republican challengers to date. With the June 2 top-two primary featuring only Democratic candidates, the race remains structurally locked for the party. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting adjustments before the general election ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,587结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic partisan lean of California's 17th congressional district, combined with five-term incumbent Ro Khanna's strong name recognition and fundraising edge, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election win in November 2026. The district's Silicon Valley base and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles have produced no viable Republican challengers to date. With the June 2 top-two primary featuring only Democratic candidates, the race remains structurally locked for the party. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a late primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unexpected redistricting adjustments before the general election ballot is finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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