Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉姆赞·卡德罗夫 97.2%
艾哈迈特·卡德罗夫 2.0%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫 1.4%
亚当·卡德罗夫 1.3%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
拉姆赞·卡德罗夫
97%
艾哈迈特·卡德罗夫
2%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫
1%
亚当·卡德罗夫
1%
阿普蒂·阿拉乌丁诺夫
1%
亚当·德利姆哈诺夫
1%
伊斯梅尔·德尼尔哈诺夫
1%
马戈梅德·道多夫
1%
拉姆赞·卡德罗夫 97.2%
艾哈迈特·卡德罗夫 2.0%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫 1.4%
亚当·卡德罗夫 1.3%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
拉姆赞·卡德罗夫
$2,720 交易量
97%
艾哈迈特·卡德罗夫
$502 交易量
2%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫
$274 交易量
1%
亚当·卡德罗夫
$616 交易量
1%
阿普蒂·阿拉乌丁诺夫
$307 交易量
1%
亚当·德利姆哈诺夫
$273 交易量
1%
伊斯梅尔·德尼尔哈诺夫
$323 交易量
1%
马戈梅德·道多夫
$260 交易量
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$5,276结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$5,276结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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