Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding 98.1% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency since 2007, unanimous United Russia nomination, and consistent official results above 97% in prior votes. The September 18–20, 2026, contest features limited registered challengers such as Ismail Denilkhanov and Khalid Nakayev, with Kadyrov actively directing security measures, highlighting infrastructure projects, and reporting Chechen contributions to the special military operation in the weeks before voting. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of administrative resources and alignment with federal authorities in Russian regional elections. Even at this level, outcomes could shift only through an abrupt health-related withdrawal or an unforeseen Kremlin directive altering the field before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉姆赞·卡德罗夫 98.1%
阿普蒂·阿拉乌丁诺夫 <1%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫 <1%
马戈梅德·道多夫 <1%
$10,973 交易量
$10,973 交易量
2026-09-20
拉姆赞·卡德罗夫
98%
阿普蒂·阿拉乌丁诺夫
1%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫
1%
马戈梅德·道多夫
1%
伊斯梅尔·德尼尔哈诺夫
<1%
亚当·德利姆哈诺夫
<1%
艾哈迈特·卡德罗夫
<1%
亚当·卡德罗夫
<1%
拉姆赞·卡德罗夫 98.1%
阿普蒂·阿拉乌丁诺夫 <1%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫 <1%
马戈梅德·道多夫 <1%
$10,973 交易量
$10,973 交易量
2026-09-20
拉姆赞·卡德罗夫
$4,967 交易量
98%
阿普蒂·阿拉乌丁诺夫
$675 交易量
1%
哈立德·纳卡耶夫
$780 交易量
1%
马戈梅德·道多夫
$929 交易量
1%
伊斯梅尔·德尼尔哈诺夫
$701 交易量
<1%
亚当·德利姆哈诺夫
$641 交易量
<1%
艾哈迈特·卡德罗夫
$922 交易量
<1%
亚当·卡德罗夫
$1,359 交易量
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding 98.1% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency since 2007, unanimous United Russia nomination, and consistent official results above 97% in prior votes. The September 18–20, 2026, contest features limited registered challengers such as Ismail Denilkhanov and Khalid Nakayev, with Kadyrov actively directing security measures, highlighting infrastructure projects, and reporting Chechen contributions to the special military operation in the weeks before voting. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of administrative resources and alignment with federal authorities in Russian regional elections. Even at this level, outcomes could shift only through an abrupt health-related withdrawal or an unforeseen Kremlin directive altering the field before polls close.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$10,973结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding 98.1% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency since 2007, unanimous United Russia nomination, and consistent official results above 97% in prior votes. The September 18–20, 2026, contest features limited registered challengers such as Ismail Denilkhanov and Khalid Nakayev, with Kadyrov actively directing security measures, highlighting infrastructure projects, and reporting Chechen contributions to the special military operation in the weeks before voting. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of administrative resources and alignment with federal authorities in Russian regional elections. Even at this level, outcomes could shift only through an abrupt health-related withdrawal or an unforeseen Kremlin directive altering the field before polls close.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$10,973结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRamzan Kadyrov holds a commanding 98.1% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency since 2007, unanimous United Russia nomination, and consistent official results above 97% in prior votes. The September 18–20, 2026, contest features limited registered challengers such as Ismail Denilkhanov and Khalid Nakayev, with Kadyrov actively directing security measures, highlighting infrastructure projects, and reporting Chechen contributions to the special military operation in the weeks before voting. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of administrative resources and alignment with federal authorities in Russian regional elections. Even at this level, outcomes could shift only through an abrupt health-related withdrawal or an unforeseen Kremlin directive altering the field before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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