Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, seeking an 11th term in Connecticut’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index, Courtney’s consistent outperformance in prior cycles including a 2024 win of roughly 58 percent, and the absence of a competitive primary after delegates endorsed him in May 2026 underpin trader consensus. Republican nominee George Austin faces structural headwinds in a district covering eastern Connecticut, including New London and Groton, where Democratic fundraising and organizational advantages remain pronounced. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major national partisan shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,321 交易量
94%
共和党
$4,340 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, seeking an 11th term in Connecticut’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index, Courtney’s consistent outperformance in prior cycles including a 2024 win of roughly 58 percent, and the absence of a competitive primary after delegates endorsed him in May 2026 underpin trader consensus. Republican nominee George Austin faces structural headwinds in a district covering eastern Connecticut, including New London and Groton, where Democratic fundraising and organizational advantages remain pronounced. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major national partisan shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,661结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, seeking an 11th term in Connecticut’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index, Courtney’s consistent outperformance in prior cycles including a 2024 win of roughly 58 percent, and the absence of a competitive primary after delegates endorsed him in May 2026 underpin trader consensus. Republican nominee George Austin faces structural headwinds in a district covering eastern Connecticut, including New London and Groton, where Democratic fundraising and organizational advantages remain pronounced. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major national partisan shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,661结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney, seeking an 11th term in Connecticut’s 2nd Congressional District, holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s D+4 partisan voting index, Courtney’s consistent outperformance in prior cycles including a 2024 win of roughly 58 percent, and the absence of a competitive primary after delegates endorsed him in May 2026 underpin trader consensus. Republican nominee George Austin faces structural headwinds in a district covering eastern Connecticut, including New London and Groton, where Democratic fundraising and organizational advantages remain pronounced. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap would require a major national partisan shift, unforeseen scandal, or health event altering the race dynamics before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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